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For HVAC owners & contractors · US & Canada

Sell your HVAC business. Confidentially — to buyers who pay for your service agreements.

Free HVAC valuation in 60 seconds. Then our AI and a senior deal team run a confidential sale where platforms, strategics and consolidators compete — and you’re paid only when you close.

  • Never listed — buyers sign an NDA before your name
  • Your techs and customers hear nothing until you decide
  • No retainer, no listing fee — paid only when you close

Free HVAC valuation · 60 seconds

What is your HVAC company worth?

60 seconds · anonymous · no email

In short

Small owner-operated HVAC businesses typically sell for about 2–3.5x seller’s discretionary earnings (SDE). Larger, professionally managed HVAC companies with $1M+ of EBITDA trade around 5–8x EBITDA, and platform-scale roll-ups more, with recurring service-agreement revenue the biggest single lever. These are market ranges, not a quote or a guarantee. A free, confidential read of your actual numbers narrows it — not an appraisal.

What HVAC companies sell for

Owner-run shops2–3.5×seller’s discretionary earnings (SDE)
$1M+ EBITDA, professionally run5–8×EBITDA
Platform-scale dealsHigherroll-ups and the strongest recurring-revenue books

Market ranges from reported sales — not a quote or a guarantee. The biggest single lever is recurring service-agreement revenue. Get your own range →

The number buyers ask for first

Service agreements vs one-off installs: where your multiple comes from.

The difference between the bottom and top of the HVAC range is rarely revenue; it is how predictable that revenue is. A book of maintenance contracts converts a project business into a predictable one — and buyers reprice it accordingly.

One-off installs

Install & new-construction work

  • Re-won job by job
  • New-construction volume is cyclical and margin-thin
  • Valued far below replacement and service work
  • Pulls you toward the bottom of the range
Recurring

Service-agreement revenue

  • Contracted maintenance that renews
  • Predictable — and buyers pay a premium for predictability
  • The first number every buyer asks for
  • Can move a company from the bottom of the range to the top

The agreement meter

How much of your revenue is under service agreements?

5× 8× EBITDA MULTIPLE

A real maintenance base with project work on top usually lands mid-range; the agreement share is what buyers dig into first.

Illustrative direction within the published range for $1M+ EBITDA HVAC companies — not a quote or a guarantee. Your free valuation uses your own numbers.

What moves the number

The four things buyers actually underwrite.

Valuation data plate · HVACRead before the first call
01

Percentage of revenue under service agreements

The first number buyers ask for. A book of maintenance contracts converts a project business into a predictable one — and it is repriced accordingly.

02

Replacement vs new-construction mix

Replacement and service work is valued far above new-construction volume, which is cyclical and margin-thin.

03

Technician retention and licensing

Buyers are acquiring capacity. Licensed staff who provably intend to stay are a genuine asset; churn is a discount.

04

Commercial vs residential balance

Commercial contracts bring stickier revenue but concentration risk; buyers underwrite each side differently.

Timing note that costs owners real money: buyers normalize earnings across seasons and want two to three years of clean, consistent financials. Cleaning up the books the year you decide to sell is too late — start before the numbers you’ll sell on are created.

The buyers

Who is buying HVAC companies in 2026.

Private equity has been rolling up home services for years, and HVAC is at the center of it. Each buyer prices the same company differently — competition among them is what moves your number.

  1. 1
    PE-backed home-services platformsThe most active buyers, usually paying the most for real recurring maintenance revenue and a technician bench.
  2. 2
    Regional strategicsEstablished competitors expanding footprint; they know your market and often move fastest.
  3. 3
    Individual and search-fund buyersTypically for smaller companies; more financing contingency, slower path to close.

Which of those is at your table changes your number far more than anything on your equipment list.

Illustration of a condenser fan and grille seen from above

Got a letter from a consolidator?

A buyer negotiating against nobody has no reason to move.

The letter in your mailbox

Most owners in this sector are approached directly, unsolicited, by a consolidator. That letter is flattering — and it is the single most expensive letter you can accept, because a buyer negotiating against nobody has no reason to move on price or terms. An unsolicited offer is priced for the buyer’s best case.

The quiet, competitive process

  • Buyers qualified and under NDA before they learn whose business it is
  • Nothing listed, advertised, or published
  • Your staff, customers, and competitors learn nothing until you decide
  • Several credible buyers considering the same opportunity at once

The result is a better number and better terms — your team, your stay-on period, the earn-out structure, and any real estate. Most HVAC engagements run six to twelve months; companies with clean financials and a strong service-agreement book move fastest.

How selling with Sentinel works

Start free. Sell when you decide.

  1. 1

    Know your number

    60 seconds, anonymous, no email. Your range from reported sales of comparable businesses.

    Get my free valuation →
  2. 2

    Open your free account

    One email. Ask Vera, our AI, anything; see what moves your number with your Exit Profile; get a free read on any offer.

    Create my free account →
  3. 3

    Sell on your terms

    Next quarter or in five years. The AI works your sale 24/7, a senior principal leads, and you approve every step. Most sales take six to twelve months.

    See how the engine works →

Real people, accountable

An M&A team that never sleeps. And people who answer for it.

Tamir Wolfson
Tamir WolfsonManaging Partner
Saransh Bhatt, Senior Director
Saransh BhattSenior Director
Louise Crivelenti
Louise CrivelentiHead of Sentinel Corporate Development
Corey Young, DDS, MBA, CVA, ABI
Corey YoungDirector of Sell-Side Engagements
Adam Taha
Adam TahaDirector, M&A & Private Equity
Liz Hardy
Liz HardyVP Relationship Management

Meet the team →

Prefer a person?

What would buyers actually pay for your HVAC business?

Tell us the basics — trucks, techs, roughly how much is under service agreements. A principal, not a call center, reviews it personally and replies within one business day with an honest range. No listing. No pressure.

Or call (888) 560-5852

You’ll also get a free private account to keep it — we’ll email you a secure sign-in link. No password.

Confidential by policy. Seen only by our senior team. Or call (888) 560-5852.

  • Your inquiry is seen only by our senior team.
  • No public listing, ever.
  • We never contact your staff, customers, or landlord.

The engine, pointed at HVAC

What Sentinel’s AI looks for in an HVAC business.

Before market

  • Share of revenue under service agreements
  • Replacement vs. new-construction mix
  • Technician bench depth and retention
  • Owner dependence in sales and estimates
  • Customer concentration

Buyer matching

  • PE-backed home-services platforms
  • Strategic HVAC consolidators
  • Regional mechanical contractors
  • Independent sponsors

Researched and scored against your business — approached under NDA, only with your written go-ahead.

Buyer Simulation

  • How buyers discount project-heavy revenue
  • The technician-retention question every platform asks
  • Which service-agreement terms actually transfer

Found and fixed before you go to market — not in diligence, where it costs you money.

Offer analysis

  • Cash at close vs. headline price
  • Earnout terms and real odds
  • Escrow, notes and working capital
  • Your exposure, offer by offer

Free Exit Profile: your range, your value drivers scored and each fix priced in dollars — eleven questions, about three minutes, no email needed to see it. Open my HVAC Exit Profile →

Straight answers

HVAC owners ask us these first.

More in our seller guides — or ask Vera in your free account.

What is my HVAC business worth?

Small owner-operated HVAC businesses typically sell for about 2–3.5x seller’s discretionary earnings (SDE). Larger, professionally managed HVAC companies with $1M+ of EBITDA trade around 5–8x EBITDA, and platform-scale roll-ups more, with recurring service-agreement revenue the biggest single lever. These are market ranges, not a quote or a guarantee. A free, confidential read of your actual numbers narrows it — not an appraisal.

Who buys HVAC businesses?

PE-backed home-services platforms, regional strategics, and individual buyers — each pricing the same company differently. Competition among them is what moves your number.

Can I sell without my technicians finding out?

Yes. Buyers sign NDAs before they learn your company's name, and nothing is listed publicly. Your team hears the news from you, when you choose.

Do service agreements really change the price?

More than anything else. Contracted maintenance revenue is predictable, and buyers pay a premium for predictability — it can move a company from the bottom of the range to the top.

What does the valuation conversation cost?

Nothing. It's free, confidential, and carries zero obligation. Our economics are success-based — we're paid when your deal closes.

I got a letter from a consolidator. Should I respond?

Not before you know your number. An unsolicited offer is priced for the buyer's best case; a confidential read tells you what a competitive process would likely change.

☎ CallFree valuation →